SM
| Current League A1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Denmark | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Austria | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | France | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Croatia | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 65.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 10.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.24%) and 3-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.13%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Croatia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Croatia.
| Result | ||
| Croatia | Draw | Bulgaria |
| 65.13% | 24.42% | 10.45% |
| Both teams to score 29.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.13% | 66.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.82% | 85.18% |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% | 20.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.62% | 53.38% |
| Bulgaria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.68% | 63.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.74% | 92.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Croatia | Draw | Bulgaria |
| 1-0 @ 20.66% 2-0 @ 16.24% 3-0 @ 8.52% 2-1 @ 7.42% 3-1 @ 3.89% 4-0 @ 3.35% 4-1 @ 1.53% 5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.46% Total : 65.12% | 0-0 @ 13.13% 1-1 @ 9.44% 2-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 6% 1-2 @ 2.16% 0-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.91% Total : 10.45% |
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