SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Denmark | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Serbia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Denmark | Draw | Serbia |
42.2% ( -0.01) | 27.67% ( 0) | 30.13% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.5% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.96% ( -0) | 58.03% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.28% ( -0) | 78.71% ( 0) |
| Denmark Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.84% ( -0.01) | 27.15% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.44% ( -0.01) | 62.55% ( 0.01) |
| Serbia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.21% ( 0.01) | 34.79% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.48% ( 0.01) | 71.52% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Denmark | Draw | Serbia |
| 1-0 @ 12.31% 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 42.2% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.45% 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 9.97% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.18% Total : 30.13% |
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