SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Denmark | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Serbia | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Slovenia had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Slovenia win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Slovenia | Draw | Serbia |
30.63% ( 0.23) | 26.98% ( -0.02) | 42.38% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 49.72% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.68% ( 0.17) | 55.31% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.47% ( 0.14) | 76.53% ( -0.14) |
| Slovenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% ( 0.26) | 32.99% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.43% ( 0.29) | 69.57% ( -0.28) |
| Serbia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( -0.03) | 25.8% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.24% ( -0.04) | 60.76% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slovenia | Draw | Serbia |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.63% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.38% |
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