SM
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Serbia | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Denmark win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Spain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Spain.
| Result | ||
| Denmark | Draw | Spain |
27.47% ( -0.36) | 26.81% ( -0.05) | 45.71% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 48.49% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.94% ( 0.02) | 56.06% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.86% ( 0.02) | 77.14% ( -0.02) |
| Denmark Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.2% ( -0.28) | 35.8% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.42% ( -0.29) | 72.58% ( 0.29) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( 0.21) | 24.46% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.09% ( 0.3) | 58.91% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Denmark | Draw | Spain |
| 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.47% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.71% |
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