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Nations League | League A
Oct 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia
DN

Spain
1 - 0
Denmark

Zubimendi (79')
Raya (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hjulmand (23'), Kristansen (85'), Bah (88'), Nelsson (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Switzerland 1-4 Spain
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Denmark 2-0 Serbia
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Denmark win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
SpainDrawDenmark
47.98% (0.201 0.2) 23.77% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 28.26% (-0.178 -0.18)
Both teams to score 58.71% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.05% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)42.96% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.64% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)65.36% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93% (0.070999999999998 0.07)18.07% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.01% (0.117 0.12)48.99% (-0.113 -0.11)
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (-0.134 -0.13)28.34% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (-0.174 -0.17)64.07% (0.177 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Spain 47.98%
    Denmark 28.26%
    Draw 23.76%
SpainDrawDenmark
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.76% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.5% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.27% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.4%
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 47.98%
1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.76%
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.46% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.26%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Switzerland 1-4 Spain
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Serbia 0-0 Spain
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Spain 2-1 England
Sunday, July 14 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Spain 2-1 France
Tuesday, July 9 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Spain 2-1 Germany
Friday, July 5 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Spain 4-1 Georgia
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Denmark 2-0 Serbia
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Denmark 2-0 Switzerland
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Germany 2-0 Denmark
Saturday, June 29 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Denmark 0-0 Serbia
Tuesday, June 25 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Denmark 1-1 England
Thursday, June 20 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Slovenia 1-1 Denmark
Sunday, June 16 at 5pm in European Championship


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