SM
| Current League C2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kosovo | Draw | Northern Ireland |
41.41% ( 0.09) | 25.25% ( 0.01) | 33.34% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.27% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.67% ( -0.08) | 47.33% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.45% ( -0.07) | 69.55% ( 0.07) |
| Kosovo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( 0.01) | 22.74% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.58% ( 0.01) | 56.42% ( -0.02) |
| Northern Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( -0.1) | 27.17% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.42% ( -0.13) | 62.58% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kosovo | Draw | Northern Ireland |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 41.41% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.34% |
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