This will be a tougher test for Northern Ireland than their friendly against Luxembourg, but they are hard to beat at Windsor Park and we think that this game could end level. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hungary in this match.

Result
Northern Ireland	Draw	Hungary
29.28%	28.26%	42.46%

Both teams to score 45.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.62%

60.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.48%

80.53%

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.3%

36.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.51%

73.49%

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.88%

28.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.2%

63.8%

Score Analysis

Northern Ireland 29.28%

Hungary 42.46%

Draw 28.25%

Northern Ireland	Draw	Hungary
1-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 6.58% 2-0 @ 5.19% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 1.73% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.85% Total : 29.28%	1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 10.32% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.25%	0-1 @ 13.09% 1-2 @ 8.32% 0-2 @ 8.31% 1-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 1.76% 1-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.71% Total : 42.46%