Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 11.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.52%) and 0-3 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.33%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 1-0 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Northern Ireland	Draw	Italy
11.52%	24.42%	64.05%

Both teams to score 31.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.84%

65.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16%

83.99%

Northern Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.72%

60.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.21%

90.79%

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.53%

20.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.07%

52.92%

Score Analysis

Northern Ireland 11.52%

Italy 64.04%

Draw 24.41%

Northern Ireland	Draw	Italy
1-0 @ 6.24% 2-1 @ 2.51% 2-0 @ 1.58% Other @ 1.19% Total : 11.52%	0-0 @ 12.33% 1-1 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 1.99% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.41%	0-1 @ 19.56% 0-2 @ 15.52% 0-3 @ 8.21% 1-2 @ 7.86% 1-3 @ 4.16% 0-4 @ 3.26% 1-4 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.05% 0-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.75% Total : 64.04%