SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 51.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Malta had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Latvia | Draw | Malta |
| 51.53% | 25.57% | 22.9% |
| Both teams to score 47.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.29% | 54.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.97% | 76.02% |
| Latvia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.74% | 21.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.82% | 54.18% |
| Malta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.9% | 39.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.19% | 75.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Latvia | Draw | Malta |
| 1-0 @ 12.87% 2-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 4.83% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.87% Other @ 3.24% Total : 51.53% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 8.31% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 7.81% 1-2 @ 5.68% 0-2 @ 3.67% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.45% Total : 22.9% |
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