Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luxembourg would win this match.
