SM
| Current League C2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northern Ireland | Draw | Kosovo |
34.93% ( 0.11) | 26.58% ( 0.13) | 38.48% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 52.16% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.25% ( -0.54) | 52.75% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.61% ( -0.46) | 74.38% ( 0.46) |
| Northern Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.18% ( -0.19) | 28.81% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.33% ( -0.24) | 64.66% ( 0.24) |
| Kosovo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.27% ( -0.39) | 26.72% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.01% ( -0.52) | 61.98% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Northern Ireland | Draw | Kosovo |
| 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.93% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.48% |
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