Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 53.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Turkey had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Turkey win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.