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European Championship | Quarter-Finals
Jul 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
GN

Spain
2 - 1
Germany

Olmo (51'), Merino (119')
Le Normand (29'), Torres (74'), Simon (82'), Carvajal (100'), Rodri (110'), Ruiz (120')
Carvajal (120+6')
FT
(aet)
Wirtz (89')
Rudiger (13'), Raum (28'), Andrich (56'), Kroos (67'), Mittelstadt (73'), Schlotterbeck (89'), Wirtz (94'), Undav (113')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Spain 4-1 Georgia
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in European Championship
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Spain359
2Italy304
3Croatia3-32
4Albania3-21
All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Germany 2-0 Denmark
Saturday, June 29 at 8pm in European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Germany had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Germany win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%).

Result
SpainDrawGermany
47.32% (-0.572 -0.57) 23.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 28.79% (0.573 0.57)
Both teams to score 58.66% (0.436 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.8% (0.386 0.39)43.2% (-0.392 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.4% (0.382 0.38)65.59% (-0.387 -0.39)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)18.43% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.41% (-0.13 -0.13)49.59% (0.124 0.12)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.9% (0.59999999999999 0.6)28.09% (-0.605 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24% (0.756 0.76)63.76% (-0.76199999999999 -0.76)
Score Analysis
    Spain 47.32%
    Germany 28.79%
    Draw 23.89%
SpainDrawGermany
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.76% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-0 @ 7.4% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 47.32%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.099 0.1)
0-1 @ 6.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.17% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.99% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.071 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.058 0.06)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 28.79%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Spain 4-1 Georgia
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Albania 0-1 Spain
Monday, June 24 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Spain 1-0 Italy
Thursday, June 20 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Spain 3-0 Croatia
Saturday, June 15 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Spain 5-1 N. Ireland
Saturday, June 8 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Spain 5-0 Andorra
Wednesday, June 5 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 2-0 Denmark
Saturday, June 29 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Switzerland 1-1 Germany
Sunday, June 23 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Germany 2-0 Hungary
Wednesday, June 19 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Germany 5-1 Scotland
Friday, June 14 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Germany 2-1 Greece
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 0-0 Ukraine
Monday, June 3 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies


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