Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spain win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Germany has a probability of 28.79% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Germany win is 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.11%).