Turkey
2 - 2
Serbia

Calhanoglu (57'), Tufan (76')
Yokuslu (29'), Yilmaz (44')
Yilmaz (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Milinkovic-Savic (22'), Mitrovic (49' pen.)
Mitrovic (16'), Kolarov (77'), Mitrovic (81')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's UEFA Nations League clash between Turkey and Serbia, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Turkey	Draw	Serbia
44.31%	26.16%	29.53%

Both teams to score 51.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.48%

52.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.82%

74.19%

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.41%

23.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.34%

57.66%

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.66%

32.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.15%

68.85%

Score Analysis

Turkey 44.31%

Serbia 29.53%

Draw 26.15%

Turkey	Draw	Serbia
1-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.31%	1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.15%	0-1 @ 8.61% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 4.86% 1-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.53%