Linfield
2 - 1
Crusaders

Waterworth (40' pen.), Quinn (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lecky (87')
Lowry (42'), Heatley (45+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Crusaders.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
Linfield	Draw	Crusaders
37.37%	26.48%	36.16%

Both teams to score 52.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.79%

52.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.08%

73.92%

Linfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.9%

27.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.51%

62.48%

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.19%

27.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.6%

63.4%

Score Analysis

Linfield 37.37%

Crusaders 36.16%

Draw 26.47%

Linfield	Draw	Crusaders
1-0 @ 9.84% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.14% Total : 37.37%	1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.54% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 9.65% 1-2 @ 8.06% 0-2 @ 6.17% 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.87% Total : 36.16%