Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 60.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.