Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.
