Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.
