Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
