SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Warrenpoint Town win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Warrenpoint Town |
| 50.15% | 23.65% | 26.2% |
| Both teams to score 57.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.04% | 43.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.66% | 66.34% |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.38% | 17.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.79% | 48.2% |
| Warrenpoint Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% | 30.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.42% | 66.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Warrenpoint Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% 1-0 @ 9.29% 2-0 @ 8.07% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.75% Total : 50.15% | 1-1 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 5.73% 0-0 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-1 @ 6.38% 0-2 @ 3.8% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.03% Total : 26.2% |
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