SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 25.15% | 24.31% | 50.54% |
| Both teams to score 54.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.27% | 47.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.08% | 69.93% |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% | 33.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.15% | 69.85% |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.09% | 18.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.6% | 50.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 1-0 @ 6.92% 2-1 @ 6.35% 2-0 @ 3.81% 3-1 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.39% Total : 25.15% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-2 @ 8.72% 1-3 @ 5.33% 0-3 @ 4.84% 2-3 @ 2.94% 1-4 @ 2.22% 0-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.19% Total : 50.53% |
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