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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Nov 10, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
4 - 1
Portadown

Loughran (19'), Smith (28', 48', 65')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lavery (9')
McNally (36'), Burns (50')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Portadown.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Portadown win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawPortadown
40.72%25.31%33.97%
Both teams to score 56.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.56%47.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.35%69.65%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87%23.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.01%56.99%
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16%26.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86%62.14%
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 40.72%
    Portadown 33.97%
    Draw 25.3%
Carrick RangersDrawPortadown
1-0 @ 9.09%
2-1 @ 8.75%
2-0 @ 6.65%
3-1 @ 4.27%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.19%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 40.72%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 8.17%
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-2 @ 5.37%
1-3 @ 3.45%
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 33.97%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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