Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 77.29%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 8.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.33%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
