Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 68.9%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 13.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-2 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.