Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 54.89%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 22.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.