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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Oct 31, 2020 at 3pm UK
Solitude

Cliftonville
3 - 0
Carrick

Maguire (61'), McMenamin (71'), Gormley (77')
Harney (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (55'), Frazer (55')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Cliftonville and Carrick Rangers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 64.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 15.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.

Result
CliftonvilleDrawCarrick Rangers
64.14%20.49%15.37%
Both teams to score 50.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.55%44.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.17%66.82%
Cliftonville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.85%13.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.18%39.81%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.39%41.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.91%78.09%
Score Analysis
    Cliftonville 64.13%
    Carrick Rangers 15.37%
    Draw 20.49%
CliftonvilleDrawCarrick Rangers
2-0 @ 11.25%
1-0 @ 11.09%
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 7.62%
3-1 @ 6.68%
4-0 @ 3.86%
4-1 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 2.93%
5-0 @ 1.57%
4-2 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 64.13%
1-1 @ 9.73%
0-0 @ 5.47%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.49%
0-1 @ 4.8%
1-2 @ 4.27%
0-2 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.27%
1-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 15.37%


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