Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Larne had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.