Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
