Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 52%. A win for Larne had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crusaders in this match.
