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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Sep 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Shamrock Park
L

Portadown
2 - 3
Larne

Croskery (66'), Hall (90+3')
Bonis (61'), McLeod (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Jarvis (8'), Randall (28'), Lynch (90+2')
(84')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Larne.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 49.6%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Portadown win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
PortadownDrawLarne
26.88%23.53%49.6%
Both teams to score 58.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.14%42.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.73%65.27%
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71%29.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.74%65.26%
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.59%17.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.15%47.85%
Score Analysis
    Portadown 26.88%
    Larne 49.6%
    Draw 23.52%
PortadownDrawLarne
2-1 @ 6.72%
1-0 @ 6.26%
2-0 @ 3.85%
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.4%
3-0 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 26.88%
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 5.87%
0-0 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 9.57%
0-1 @ 8.92%
0-2 @ 7.79%
1-3 @ 5.58%
0-3 @ 4.54%
2-3 @ 3.42%
1-4 @ 2.44%
0-4 @ 1.98%
2-4 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 49.6%

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