SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Cliftonville |
50.13% ( 0.04) | 23.13% ( -0.04) | 26.73% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 59.62% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.82% ( 0.15) | 41.18% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.43% ( 0.15) | 63.57% ( -0.15) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.41% ( 0.07) | 16.58% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.62% ( 0.12) | 46.38% ( -0.12) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( 0.08) | 28.52% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% ( 0.1) | 64.3% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.34% Total : 50.13% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.52% Total : 26.73% |
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