Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 75.39%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 8.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 3-0 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (3.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
Result | ||
Cliftonville | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
75.39% ( 0.19) | 15.64% ( -0.1) | 8.97% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 46.73% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.16% ( 0.18) | 38.84% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.84% ( 0.19) | 61.15% ( -0.19) |
Cliftonville Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.3% ( 0.09) | 8.7% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.07% ( 0.21) | 29.93% ( -0.22) |
Dungannon Swifts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.18% ( -0.07) | 48.82% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.17% ( -0.05) | 83.82% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Cliftonville | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
2-0 @ 12.66% 1-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.65% 5-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.98% Total : 75.37% | 1-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 15.64% | 0-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 8.97% |
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