SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Coleraine |
38.04% ( 0.27) | 26.92% ( 0.43) | 35.03% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 51.08% ( -1.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.88% ( -1.8) | 54.12% ( 1.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.46% ( -1.53) | 75.54% ( 1.53) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% ( -0.7) | 27.62% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.84% ( -0.91) | 63.16% ( 0.91) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% ( -1.31) | 29.42% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.58% ( -1.63) | 65.41% ( 1.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Coleraine |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.04% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.56)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.03% |
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