SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 54.74%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Cliftonville |
23.41% ( 0.02) | 21.85% ( 0.02) | 54.74% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.55% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.65% ( -0.05) | 38.35% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.37% ( -0.05) | 60.63% ( 0.06) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.42% ( -0.01) | 29.58% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.39% ( -0.02) | 65.61% ( 0.02) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.98% ( -0.03) | 14.02% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.44% ( -0.05) | 41.56% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.08% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.45% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 23.41% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.85% | 1-2 @ 9.75% 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.39% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.24% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.58% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 54.74% |
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