Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 56.01%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 22.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.