Crusaders
3 - 1
Dungannon

McGonigle (17'), Kennedy (47' pen., 59' pen.)
Brown (73')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wilson (27')
McGinty (79')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Dungannon Swifts.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 62.45%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 16.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Dungannon Swifts
62.45%	20.99%	16.56%

Both teams to score 51.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.6%

44.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.22%

66.77%

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.37%

13.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.21%

40.79%

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.97%

40.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.32%

76.68%

Score Analysis

Crusaders 62.45%

Dungannon Swifts 16.56%

Draw 20.99%

Crusaders	Draw	Dungannon Swifts
1-0 @ 10.87% 2-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 6.59% 4-0 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-2 @ 1.5% 5-0 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.91% Total : 62.45%	1-1 @ 9.96% 0-0 @ 5.46% 2-2 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.99%	0-1 @ 5% 1-2 @ 4.56% 0-2 @ 2.29% 1-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.94% Total : 16.56%