Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 62.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
