Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.