Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
