Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Portadown win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.