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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 9
Oct 16, 2021 at 3pm UK
Shamrock Park

Portadown
0 - 1
Ballymena


Kerr (48'), McKeown (57'), (76')
Conaty (33'), Kerr (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McGrory (77')
McKeown (15'), Winchester (90+3'), (90+3')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Ballymena United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Portadown win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result
PortadownDrawBallymena United
34.93%24.13%40.94%
Both teams to score 60.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.21%41.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.81%64.18%
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38%23.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3%57.69%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41%20.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.87%53.12%
Score Analysis
    Portadown 34.93%
    Ballymena United 40.94%
    Draw 24.12%
PortadownDrawBallymena United
2-1 @ 8%
1-0 @ 7.02%
2-0 @ 5.06%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.93%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 4.86%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 8.76%
0-1 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 6.07%
1-3 @ 4.62%
2-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 3.2%
1-4 @ 1.83%
2-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 40.94%

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