Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 72.8%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 10.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 3-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.