Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.