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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 15
Nov 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Ballymena Showgrounds

Ballymena
2 - 0
Crusaders

Winchester (58'), McElroy (90+1')
Winchester (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Larmour (20'), (88'), (90+5')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Crusaders.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawCrusaders
24.83%24.1%51.07%
Both teams to score 54.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.91%47.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.67%69.33%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84%33.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.24%69.76%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55%18.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.36%49.63%
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 24.83%
    Crusaders 51.06%
    Draw 24.09%
Ballymena UnitedDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 6.75%
2-1 @ 6.3%
2-0 @ 3.73%
3-1 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 1.96%
3-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 24.83%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 6.12%
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.09%
0-1 @ 10.33%
1-2 @ 9.65%
0-2 @ 8.74%
1-3 @ 5.43%
0-3 @ 4.92%
2-3 @ 3%
1-4 @ 2.3%
0-4 @ 2.08%
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 51.06%

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