Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Linfield in this match.