Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 76.31%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 9.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.