SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Glenavon | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Dungannon Swifts | 2 | -6 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Larne | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Linfield | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 6 | Crusaders | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Linfield win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Linfield |
40.54% ( 1.16) | 25.9% ( -0.1) | 33.55% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.12% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.87% ( 0.23) | 50.13% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.9% ( 0.21) | 72.09% ( -0.21) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.58% ( 0.71) | 24.42% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.16% ( 0.99) | 58.84% ( -0.99) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% ( -0.54) | 28.4% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.85% ( -0.69) | 64.14% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Linfield |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.83% Total : 40.54% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.55% |
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