SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Ballymena United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Carrick Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Cliftonville | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Linfield | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Newry City AFC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Portadown | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Newry City AFC |
29.4% ( -1.69) | 25.15% ( -0.98) | 45.45% ( 2.66) |
| Both teams to score 54.83% ( 2.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.59% ( 3.37) | 48.41% ( -3.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.45% ( 3) | 70.55% ( -3) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( 0.53) | 30.32% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.5% ( 0.63) | 66.5% ( -0.64) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% ( 2.7) | 21.32% ( -2.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.73% ( 4.01) | 54.27% ( -4.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -1) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.52)3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.12% Total : 29.4% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.5) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.95)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.58) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.53)0-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.39)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.36)1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.33)0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.26)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.5% Total : 45.45% |
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