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Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 27, 2022 at 5pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion

Bodo/Glimt
8 - 0
Linfield

Vetlesen (7'), Okoh Boniface (21' pen.), Pellegrino (25', 54' pen.), Saltnes (29'), Espejord (52', 88'), Sampsted (73')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Mulgrew (55'), McClean (65')
Millar (21')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 5-0 Jerv
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Linfield 1-0 Bodo/Glimt
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Champions League

We said: Bodo/Glimt 3-0 Linfield (Bodo/Glimt win 3-1 on aggregate)

We made the mistake of underestimating Linfield in the first leg, but Bodo/Glimt performed with a vengeance in league action at the weekend and will be fired up to complete an expected turnaround this week. Healy's side have done Northern Ireland proud in Europe so far, but with Bodo/Glimt excelling at home with plenty of goals in tow, the Linfield journey will surely end here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Linfield had a probability of 14.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.31%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Linfield win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawLinfield
61.44% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 23.76% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08) 14.8% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 40.12% (0.294 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.92% (0.339 0.34)58.08% (-0.343 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24% (0.264 0.26)78.75% (-0.268 -0.27)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.32% (0.137 0.14)18.68% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.97% (0.231 0.23)50.02% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.34% (0.277 0.28)50.66% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.89% (0.188 0.19)85.11% (-0.191 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 61.42%
    Linfield 14.8%
    Draw 23.75%
Bodo/GlimtDrawLinfield
1-0 @ 15.87% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 13.31% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.12% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 61.42%
1-1 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.46% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.08% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 23.75%
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.67% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 14.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 5-0 Jerv
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Linfield 1-0 Bodo/Glimt
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: HamKam 0-2 Bodo/Glimt
Saturday, July 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: KI 3-1 Bodo/Glimt
Wednesday, July 13 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 4-1 Sarpsborg
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 3-0 KI
Wednesday, July 6 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Linfield 1-0 Bodo/Glimt
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Linfield 2-0 New Saints
Wednesday, July 13 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: New Saints 1-0 Linfield
Tuesday, July 5 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Coleraine
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 0-0 Larne
Saturday, April 23 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 1-2 Linfield
Tuesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership


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