Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 27, 2022 at 5pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion
We said: Bodo/Glimt 3-0 Linfield (Bodo/Glimt win 3-1 on aggregate)
We made the mistake of underestimating Linfield in the first leg, but Bodo/Glimt performed with a vengeance in league action at the weekend and will be fired up to complete an expected turnaround this week.
Healy's side have done Northern Ireland proud in Europe so far, but with Bodo/Glimt excelling at home with plenty of goals in tow, the Linfield journey will surely end here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Linfield had a probability of 14.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.31%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Linfield win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
| Result |
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Linfield |
61.44% ( 0.03) | 23.76% ( -0.08) | 14.8% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 40.12% ( 0.29) |
| 41.92% ( 0.34) | 58.08% ( -0.34) |
| 21.24% ( 0.26) | 78.75% ( -0.27) |
| 81.32% ( 0.14) | 18.68% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.97% ( 0.23) | 50.02% ( -0.23) |
| 49.34% ( 0.28) | 50.66% ( -0.28) |
