Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Portadown.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Portadown win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.