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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 16
Mar 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Taylors Avenue

Carrick
5 - 3
Portadown

Kelly (13'), Friel (22', 63'), Loughran (32' pen.), Cherry (70')
Kelly (29'), Anderson (54'), Cherry (62')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Guy (3'), Bonis (11'), Salley (85')
Bonis (31'), Healy (43')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Portadown.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Portadown win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawPortadown
37.37%25.3%37.33%
Both teams to score 56.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.98%47.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.74%69.26%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31%24.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.78%59.22%
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29%24.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75%59.25%
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 37.37%
    Portadown 37.33%
    Draw 25.29%
Carrick RangersDrawPortadown
1-0 @ 8.53%
2-1 @ 8.34%
2-0 @ 5.97%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 0.97%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 37.37%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 8.53%
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.72%
1-4 @ 1.36%
0-4 @ 0.97%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 37.33%

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