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Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 27, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Saitama Stadium 2002
ZN

Brazil Women
1 - 0
Zambia Women

Alves (19')
Alonso Costantino (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Phiri (45+8')
Mweemba (13')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil Women win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Zambia Women had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Zambia Women win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brazil Women in this match.

Result
Brazil WomenDrawZambia Women
48.15%25.57%26.29%
Both teams to score 51.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.99%52.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.26%73.74%
Brazil Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39%21.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.28%54.72%
Zambia Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.41%34.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.69%71.31%
Score Analysis
    Brazil Women 48.15%
    Zambia Women 26.29%
    Draw 25.56%
Brazil WomenDrawZambia Women
1-0 @ 11.45%
2-1 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 8.77%
3-1 @ 4.76%
3-0 @ 4.48%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 48.15%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7.48%
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 7.94%
1-2 @ 6.45%
0-2 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 26.29%

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